The Gambling Corner Presented by Kutt

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Last week, I described the final week of the NFL season as “most unpredictable time of the year” because of “players sitting or heading to the bench early with their team out of contention or their team already clinched.” Well, that sure as hell came to fruition as my Bengals -2.5 at the time of publishing later became Bengals +5.5 because anyone who played football in college decided to sit out as they fielded a squad of Skyline cooks. Alas, it was a 2-3 week as I missed that one and missed BADLY on the Colts -15.5 and Patriots/Dolphins under. It was the first losing week in Lord knows how long, but if Tom Brady isn’t perfect, none of us are.

The NFL playoffs are upon us and that provides a ton more clarity in the betting world. Sure, the plethora of opportunities is limited, but that just allows us to better focus. It’s like when you go to a restaurant with 11 things on the menu in lieu of The Cheesecake Factory. Sure, you have less options, but you can zone in on that beef Wellington and absolutely get to business. Let’s do just that.

Patriots/Bills U44

Saturday at 8:15 p.m. on CBS

Saturday in Buffalo will see a high of 10 degrees and a low of 4. I have long claimed if I ever win the Powerball, I will never willingly see a temperature below 60 for the rest of my life. People in Buffalo live for this, however. They’ll be breaking ice-laden tables, chewing on Busch Light slashes, the whole nine yards.

Speaking of yards, don’t expect a lot in this one. These two are the top two scoring defenses in the entire NFL. The Bills have given up 17.0 points per game this season, just 16.6 at home and 15.3 over their last three. New England is just behind them at 17.8 ppg and 16.0 on the road. The last time these two teams met in Buffalo back on December 6, the Pats beat the Bills 14-10. The over is just 3-6 so far this season during Buffalo home games. Expect another frostbiter nailbiter in this one.

Eagles/Bucs O46

Sunday at 1 p.m. on FOX

The weather figures to be a bit better down in Tampa for the Eagles and Bucs, a rematch of the 2002 NFC Championship Game. Tampa is second in the NFL in scoring offense, putting up 30.1 ppg. Philadelphia is a respectable 12th at 26.1.

Raymond James Stadium is the seventh-best place to bet the over this season as five of eight games have exceeded the mark there this season. Philadelphia is the second-best team in football in 2021 at hitting overs at 10-7 with the Bucs two spots below them at 9-8. Jalen Hurts can create big plays and headaches with his improvisational skills while Brady is absolutely still that dude. Points here.

Cowboys -3 vs. 49ers

Sunday at 4:30 p.m. on CBS

Good teams win and great teams cover. Well, Dallas is the best team in the NFL at covering this season at 13-4. They’re also the second-best team in the NFL (behind the 1-0 Jets) at covering the spread as a favorite, going 10-3 in such games. This matchup pits statistically the best offense in the NFL in the Cowboys against one of the stingier defenses in San Francisco. Dallas is the better team, they’re our tried and true cover heroes and they have the much-better quarterback. Pair that with one head coach who has won a Super Bowl against another who has famously choked away a pair of Super Bowl appearances, and you have my answer. Johnny Walker Blue all night long for the ‘Boys.

Cardinals +4 vs. Rams

Monday at 8:15 p.m. on ABC

Sticking with our crazy method of continuing to bet on teams that have proven us right all year, give me the Cardinals here. Arizona is 8-1 ATS on the road this season, beating the mark by an average of 10.5 ppg. My God. Add in the fact Kyler Murray has thrown for 651 yards and ran for another 100 against the Rams this year, and I love being gifted four points. In their last meeting in Los Angeles back in October, the Cardinals won 37-20. I don’t know if they win outright again, but I don’t need them to. I just need them to do what they’ve done all year long, and be some road warriors getting us inside the number. They’ll do that again.

WHAMMY: Chiefs -12.5 vs. Steelers

Sunday at 8:15 p.m. on NBC

One of these teams has won nine of their last 10 games. The other made it into the playoffs because the Chargers and Raiders wouldn’t give America the only tie they’ve ever wanted. One has a quarterback that is arguably the most gifted talent we have ever seen at the position. The other has a 39-year-old plus-sized quarterback whose rookie year on Madden predates the Xbox 360. One team has scored 30+ points nine times this season and 40+ twice. The other has scored 20+ just eight times and 30+ just once. Are you sensing a theme here?

Big Ben has a storied history, but unfortunately the key word there is “history.” The first of his two Super Bowls came two years before the first iPhone came out. He is having trouble throwing the ball down the field and his offensive line is as bad as it has ever been. Kansas City boasts Patrick Mahomes in the prime of his career throwing to the likes of Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce, two guys far superior than anyone Pittsburgh has. This one will probably feel a little sad, but at least you’ll be able to get to bed early as this should be in the books by the end of the third.

Doc’s Bonus Picks:

Bucs -8.5

Bills -4

Bengals -5.5

49ers +3

Whammy: Chiefs -12.5

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